All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

(0:00) Jason and Chamath welcome SEC's Paul Atkins and CFTC's Michael Selig
(0:53) Atkins on how US markets have changed over his 40 year career
(3:04) Top priorities across both agencies: Fixing the IPO drought, crypto regulation, cutting unnecessary rules
(8:16) AI trading bots, autonomous hedge funds, and investing with leverage
(15:30) Ending the "Turf War" between the SEC and CFTC, super app vision
(19:15) Prediction markets, insider trading, gray area
(26:56) Trump advocates for changing quarterly earnings to bi-annual
(30:30) Changing the accreditation rules a priority for 2026
(34:56) HFT firms that dominate the futures markets, swap reporting
(40:36) VC fund formation
(46:18) US markets vs the world, crypto classification
(52:54) Biggest risks: Market manipulation, crypto scams, and the Gen Z gambling crisis
 
SEC Chair Paul Atkins:
https://x.com/SECPaulSAtkins
CFTC Chair Michael Selig:
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Intro Music Credit:
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https://x.com/yung_spielburg
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(0:00) The Besties welcome legendary Harvard professor Graham Allison
(1:14) Iran Conflict: Strategy, Netanyahu's influence, Trump's motivation, redefining Middle East security
(11:44) Iran endgame scenarios: Democracy, extremism, second-order effects
(21:07) Israel: Is Netanyahu destroying Israel's democracy?
(24:28) China: Taiwan invasion, trade, and Trump's April meeting
(39:50) Greenland: Importance, deal scenarios, EU socialism angle
(48:58) Nuclear proliferation: 80-80-9 framework explained
(56:20) Rising socialism in America: wealth inequality and political risk
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Follow the besties:
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Intro Music Credit:
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https://x.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
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(0:00) Jason intros Prince Reza Pahlavi
(1:09) Pahlavi's take on the war and vision for Iran's future, Democracy, and return
(8:53) Trump's surrender conditions, core principles, role in transition and potential leadership
(17:14) Thoughts on the people and spirit of Iran
(21:33) Shervin Pishevar joins: thoughts on the current regime killing 40k+ protestors, future of the Middle East
(33:59) Future leader and government of Iran, plan for transition
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Intro Video Credit:
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(0:00) The Besties welcome Under Secretary of War Emil Michael
(2:30) US war with Iran: Bigger picture and why now?
(13:16) Trump's new approach to warfare, AI, drones, rules of engagement
(28:39) Israel's role in the conflict, relationship with the US, Iron Beam
(37:24) Oil prices, Trump's maritime insurance play
(41:19) Pentagon vs Anthropic: Why Anthropic was labeled a supply-chain risk
(1:02:03) How to value Anthropic after its supply chain risk designation
(1:11:14) State of the US defense supply chain, the defense tech industry, DARPA, and China's military
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Intro Music Credit:
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https://x.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
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Referenced in the show:
https://x.com/chamath/status/2029584905831891069
https://polymarket.com/event/us-forces-enter-iran-by
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-the-end-of-2026
https://x.com/chamath/status/2029416079781736844
https://x.com/USWREMichael/status/2029539950962626734
https://x.com/addyosmani/status/2029372736267805081
https://github.com/googleworkspace/cli
https://x.com/chamath/status/2029634071966666964
https://www.lloyds.com/about-lloyds/history/lloyds-buildings
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-05/pentagon-says-it-s-told-anthropic-the-firm-is-supply-chain-risk
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-03/anthropic-nears-20-billion-revenue-run-rate-amid-pentagon-feud

(0:00) Friedberg Introduces Ray Dalio
(1:29) 5 Forces That Will Decide America's Future
(7:26) Why Government Reform Is Nearly Impossible
(11:19) Gold vs. Bitcoin
(28:16) What Economists Got Wrong About Tariffs
(41:11) Is America Heading Towards Collapse?
Airwallex is a leading global payments and financial platform for modern businesses, offering trusted solutions to manage everything from business account, payments, treasury, and spend management to embedded finance.
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Ray Dalio joins the All-In Podcast for the third time to break down why America's debt crisis is worse than most people realize, and what comes next.
Dalio covers the five forces reshaping the global order, why DOGE faced structural limits, what's driving gold to all-time highs while Bitcoin stumbles, the real story behind tariffs and trade deficits, and why he believes the US might be approaching a collapse.
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Intro Music Credit:
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https://x.com/yung_spielburg