MexMoves

We interview Emilio Cadena, CEO of Prodensa and President of the US-Mexico Foundation, on the continued nearshoring opportunity for Mexico; what’s working, what isn’t, and why a roll-up of some of Mexico’s SME export industrial plays makes sense.
Before that, Eduardo and Damian discuss the big business news of the week. 
Grupo México takes control of Saavi Energía, partially cashing out BlackRock/GIP, a clear example of global capital rotating out while rich local players step up.
Mexico’s GDP contracted 0.8% in 1Q, its weakest start since 2020, while the U.S. grew around 2%. The divergence is striking: the U.S. is being supported by AI capex, while Mexico is held back by weak domestic consumption, investment, and autos.
Yet Mexico’s non-auto exports are quietly booming. Growth is coming from electronics, electrical equipment, and industrial inputs tied directly to the AI buildout. This is nearshoring  in action, though it is not yet translating into GDP growth perhaps given the large import component in electronics.
And in our quick takes, we look at Televisa preparing for Telco M&A, positive 1Q26 reports from FEMSA, Televisa, mixed results from BBVA Mexico, BanBajío, Walmex and others, plus Banorte’s bet on baseball.

Andrés Martínez, Co-Director of the Great Game Lab at Arizona State University, joins us to discuss the business significance of the first North American World Cup. Pedro Casas, CEO of AmCham Mexico, gives us the latest on USMCA talks following the USTR’s visit to Mexico. Before the interviews, Eduardo and Damian assess the state of Mexico’s economy and Q1 earnings so far, ballooning contraband around the World Cup, Fibra battles getting personal, Banamex’s new CEO, Flex’s AI infrastructure investment bet, and Atlas football club set to change hands.

We interview Adriana Rangel, Head of LatAm distribution at Vanguard, on one of Mexico’s biggest long-term weaknesses: why retirement savings remain so low despite gains in financial inclusion and average incomes. The answers include still low incomes relative to living costs, low female labor participation, high informality, poor financial education, and complexity and high cost of many existing financial products.

Eduardo and Damian first turn to the week’s key stories:
• Tomato prices surge: up as much as 100% YoY, pushing inflation higher, while tortilla prices also look set to rise.
• Fracking reconsidered: Sheinbaum shifts policy, but cheap US gas remains hard to compete with.
• Plata at a $5bn valuation: a major fintech milestone and a sign of renewed capital flows.
• GS Motos hits 10 million motorcycle units sold: a major success story now facing stronger Indian competition.
• Herdez’s ice cream JV with Froneri marks another step toward its leaner operating model.

This week on MexMoves, we interview Carlos Madrazo, head of Jumex USA, on how the company is approaching the US market, what lessons it can bring from its success in Mexico, what has to change, and why both Hispanic and mainstream consumers are part of its long-term ambition. Before that, Eduardo and Damian break down the week’s biggest stories: China’s growing footprint in autos, as GAC claims it will begin to assembly cars in Mexico in the second half of 2026; the implications of Telefónica’s sale of its Mexico business, and what the buying consortium-leader Oxio does next; and the debate around Victoria Rodríguez’s leadership of Banxico after a critical Bloomberg Opinion column.’

This week, Eduardo and Damian sit down with Rubén Mugártegui, Managing Director of Amazon Web Services Mexico, as AWS celebrates its 20th anniversary, to discuss how the company helped drive Mexico’s shift to cloud computing and how it is now positioning itself at the centre of the country’s AI transition.
This episode also dives into:

🔹 The debate over Mexico’s ‘’Broken Economy’’ by The Economist. What causes Mexico’s persistently weak economic growth - seemingly everyone has a view

🔹 Park Life’s debut on the stock exchange, the first Mexican listed residential property company

🔹 What new data on Mexico’s fast-growing e-commerce economy shows

🔹 Nissan’s closure of its historic CIVAC plant in Morelos as part of its global restructuring