MexMoves

Pedro de Garay, co-CEO of GBM and founder of Siclo, describes the pivot from a broker and investment bank built for Mexico’s financial elite to a mass-market investing platform, scaled with SoftBank backing and designed for first-time investors. We look at what comes next as GBM tries to turn scale into higher profitability.
Diplomat Shauna Hemingway joins from the Canadian delegation of business leaders visiting Mexico to discuss where Canadian companies are investing, how they are reading the USMCA review, and the frictions that still slow cross-border deals.
Before the interviews, Eduardo and Damian cover Mexico’s new 30% film and TV production tax credit, including local supplier rules and minimum spend thresholds, and Netflix’s new Mexico City headquarters, another signal that it sees Mexico as a long-term production base.
We analyse Aeroméxico’s impressive cash generation in 2025, and Kavak’s fresh funding and what it says about late-stage tech in Mexico. We then break down Walmex’s softer 4Q25 results, a reminder that the consumer is still under pressure and competition is tightening. And on the Caribbean coast, early sargassum arrivals near Cancún are back on the radar, with potential consequences for tourism as the season approaches.

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Martin Mazza from Sam Altman’s Tools for Humanity and its World project, tells us why Mexico and LatAm are key markets for Proof of Human tools in an AI world, how far they’ve progressed in getting Latin Americans to “eyeball up,” and what still needs to happen to reach critical scale. We also chat with another Argentine, Tomás Mindlin, CEO and co-founder of tapi, following the company’s US$27M Series B, on why Mexico is central to their expansion, profitability, the Arcus integration, and the role of cash-in/cash-out in Mexico’s payments digitalization. As always, Eduardo and Damian kick off with their take on some of the week’s main business stories: the Vizsla-linked kidnappings and murders in Sinaloa and what they signal about security risk in mining; Chinese OEM interest in Mexico colliding with U.S. tariff pressure and trade politics; Nu’s overcooked Mexico messaging; and the Volaris–Viva tie-up as the key stress test for Mexico’s new competition authority.
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We interview Domingo Valdés, CFO of Vinte, Mexico’s largest homebuilder, on where Mexican housing is headed over the next decade. We discuss policy shifts from Peña Nieto to AMLO to Sheinbaum, Infonavit’s expanding role, the successful Javer acquisition, and how Vinte’s ESG focus translates into financial benefits. Before the interview, Eduardo and Damian first break down the week’s biggest Mexico storylines. Namely, the relevance of Mexico to Sunday’s Super Bowl; the government’s new multi-year infrastructure push; BBVA México’s blowout results and why Mexico remains the group’s profit engine; the proposed workweek reduction and what it could mean for the formal vs. informal labor divide; and the latest on Pemex’s “turnaround” narrative.

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ZONAMACO takes centre stage this week as we interview Zélika García, the founder behind Mexico’s top contemporary art fair, on how it became a global hit. We also speak with consultant Juan Saldívar on selling Mexican consumer brands in the US. And as always, Eduardo and Damian break down Mexico’s top business moves of the week: Sheinbaum’s private meetings with senior bankers and economic officials to push funding for Plan México and deepen credit; Revolut’s headline 15% yield on small deposits; and Banorte’s latest strong results and 2026 outlook. We also discuss how Grupo México became by far Mexico’s most valuable company, and how it’s poised to deploy its massive cash pile to invest more in mining, if permits come through.
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We interview Andrés Pliego on the outlook for Mexico’s water sector and how Rotoplas, where he is CFO, is investing across the region by providing practical, decentralized water solutions. Before the interview, Eduardo and Damian discuss the 2026 outlook for Mexico’s financials, energy, and mining sectors. We look at the impact of fintechs on lending and deposit rates, question Pemex’s ability to raise oil production, and highlight the need for the government to unlock mining investment by accelerating the approval of permits. We also discuss Mexico’s notable absence at Davos 2026. While thousands of the world’s leading CEOs and government figures were present in perhaps the most interesting Davos of all time, Mexico’s top brass was mostly absent.
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