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The Investor's Podcast (We Study Billionaires) - The Investor’s Podcast Network
The Investor's Podcast Network
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1232 episodios
TIP859: Mercado Libre ($MELI): We Doubled Down on Meli w/ Daniel Mahncke & Shawn O'Malley
08/11/2026 | 1 h 4 minDaniel Mahncke and Shawn O’Malley return to Mercado Libre (NASDAQ: MELI), a holding in The Intrinsic Value Portfolio. The “Amazon of Latin America” just reported its 31st consecutive quarter of revenue growth above 30%, a streak no company of its size has ever matched, with revenue up 45% to $10.75 billion. In the same quarter, its operating margin fell to 6.3%, the lowest in years, and the stock trades below where it was originally pitched.
Daniel and Shawn cover the evolution of Mercado Pago, which processed $109 billion in payments last quarter, more than four times what the marketplace sold, and runs a $17.9 billion credit book growing 62% a year that has made it the sixth-largest card issuer in Brazil. They explain why booking losses on new credit cards upfront is the biggest reason margins fell, and why Pago is so important for the ecosystem. They then take a close look at Shopee, the biggest competitor for Meli in Brazil. They also cover Amazon, and the question that decides the whole thesis: will Brazil end up looking like the U.S., with one or two dominant platforms, or like China, where four players compete margins down to 2%? In the end, they walk through the updated valuation model and explain why they added to the position.
IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN:
(00:00:00) Intro
(00:02:04) What changed since our last pitch
(00:05:57) How Mercado Pago keeps taking share
(00:07:25) Why Pago strengthens the flywheel
(00:21:48) Whether competition forces Meli’s hands
(00:44:29) How margins impact the Meli thesis
(00:51:08) What MELI’s stock is worth
(00:57:13) Whether MELI will stay part of The Intrinsic Value Portfolio
Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.
BOOKS AND RESOURCES
Apply for The Intrinsic Value Mastermind Community where investors learn, share ideas, network, and join calls with experts.
Apply for The Mastermind Inner Circle to connect with the most successful investors, executives, and business leaders from our audience. As an Inner Circle Member, you also have the opportunity to join us at a private dinner with Markel CEO Tom Gayner in March!
Track The Intrinsic Value Portfolio.
Portfolio Review Submit Tool.
Our Original Mercado Libre Episode.
Check out the Sea Limited Episode.
Check out the Grab Episode.
Mercado Libre Investor Relations.
Dive into our previous Intrinsic Value breakdowns Uber, Nike, Reddit, Nintendo, Airbnb, AutoZone, Alphabet, Ulta, John Deere, Madison Square Garden Sports.
Follow Daniel on X and LinkedIn.
Follow Shawn on X and LinkedIn.
Related books mentioned in the podcast.
Ad-free episodes on our Premium Feed.
NEW TO THE SHOW?
Get smarter about valuing businesses through The Intrinsic Value Newsletter.
Check out The Investor’s Podcast Starter Packs.
Follow our official social media accounts: X | LinkedIn | Facebook.
Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance.
Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services.
Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts.
SPONSORS
Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors:
Monarch
Plus500
Bilt
Granola
References to any third-party products, services, or advertisers do not constitute endorsements, and The Investor’s Podcast Network is not responsible for any claims made by them.
Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fmTIP858: McDonald's ($MCD): Generational Compounder in Historical Drawdown w/ Daniel Mahncke & Shawn O'Malley
05/11/2026 | 1 h 22 minDaniel Mahncke and Shawn O’Malley cover their first restaurant stock. Although one could argue it isn’t really a restaurant business at all. McDonald’s (NYSE: MCD) is the landlord behind $139 billion of yearly sales across roughly 46,000 restaurants. About 95% of those restaurants are run by franchisees, who paid McDonald’s around $10.4 billion in rent and $6 billion in royalties last year. That means about 91% of McDonald’s restaurant-level profit comes from collecting rent and royalties, not from selling burgers.
Daniel and Shawn explain how Ray Kroc took over McDonald’s and came up with the real estate plans with his business partner Sonneborn. They also cover how Bill Ackman’s 2005 refranchising plan was rejected by management, then carried out a decade later by Steve Easterbrook, the CEO who was later fired and handed back $105 million. They look at why franchisees are currently pushing back, and what the roughly $8.5 billion of rent relief and remodel support announced at the September investor day means for shareholders. They also ask whether GLP-1 drugs can be a terminal risk for McDonald’s. In the end, they walk through the valuation model and decide whether the world’s most famous landlord is worth its price, and whether McDonald’s earns a spot in The Intrinsic Value Portfolio.
IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN:
(00:00:00) Intro
(00:02:06) About McDonald’s journey to a global franchise
(00:11:01) Why and how McDonald’s turned into a real estate company
(00:20:37) How McDonald’s actually makes money
(00:23:56) How the franchising business works
(00:28:48) Why McDonald’s wants to sell more restaurants
(00:46:36) How GLP-1 drugs change the business
(01:19:16) Valuation discussion
(01:21:59) What MCD’s stock is worth
(01:24:56) Whether MCD will be added to The Intrinsic Value Portfolio
Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.
BOOKS AND RESOURCES
Apply for The Intrinsic Value Mastermind Community where investors learn, share ideas, network, and join calls with experts.
Apply for The Mastermind Inner Circle to connect with the most successful investors, executives, and business leaders from our audience.
Track The Intrinsic Value Portfolio.
Portfolio Review Submit Tool.
McDonald’s Investor Day.
McDonald’s Investor Relations.
Jeff Nippard – Peptides.
Check out our previous Intrinsic Value breakdowns: Domino’s Pizza, CoStar Group, Walmart, NVR.
Follow Kyle on X and LinkedIn.
Follow Shawn on X and LinkedIn.
Related books mentioned in the podcast.
Ad-free episodes on our Premium Feed.
NEW TO THE SHOW?
Get smarter about valuing businesses through The Intrinsic Value Newsletter.
Check out The Investor’s Podcast Starter Packs.
Follow our official social media accounts: X | LinkedIn | Facebook.
Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance.
Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services.
Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts.
SPONSORS
Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors:
Monarch
Plus500
Bilt
Granola
References to any third-party products, services, or advertisers do not constitute endorsements, and The Investor’s Podcast Network is not responsible for any claims made by them.
Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fmTIP857: S&P Global, Novo, Deckers Brands w/ Stig Brodersen, Tobias Carlisle, & Hari Ramachandra
01/11/2026 | 1 h 27 minIn today’s episode, Stig Brodersen is joined by Tobias Carlisle and Hari Ramachandra for a new round of stock pitches. Hari makes the case for Novo, until recently the most valuable company in Europe, now priced as if its obesity franchise is a melting ice cube. Stig pitches S&P Global, the company behind the S&P 500 and one of the world’s great ratings businesses, and explains why it became his first new position in more than a year. Tobias breaks down Deckers Brands, the owner of HOKA and UGG, trading at 11 times earnings and buying back stock aggressively.
IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN:
(00:00:00) Intro
(00:02:24) Why Hari is bullish on Novo Nordisk (Ticker: NVO), trading at 12 times forward earnings with a 4.5% dividend and an oral obesity pill gaining traction.
(00:15:24) The bear case for Novo Nordisk, including Eli Lilly’s lead in efficacy and market share, Medicare price negotiations, and patent expiries in key markets.
(00:28:19) Why Stig is bullish on S&P Global (Ticker: SPGI), highlighting the ratings oligopoly, the economics of the S&P 500 index, and why he bought a starter position below $400.
(00:46:35) The bear case for S&P Global, including AI disruption of Market Intelligence, competition from startups like AlphaSense and Rogo, and whether 23 times earnings is cheap enough.
(00:58:41) Why Tobias is bullish on Deckers (Ticker: DECK), emphasizing $1.6 billion in net cash, buybacks of 80% of free cash flow, and thoughtful capital allocation.
(01:19:51) The bear case for Deckers Brands, including slowing HOKA growth, the fashion risk in UGG, a squeezed consumer, and the low base rate for brands re-accelerating growth.
Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.
BOOKS AND RESOURCES
If you are interested in a Community for investors to learn, share ideas, network, and join calls with experts: Apply for The Intrinsic Value Mastermind.
If you are interested in more personal meet-ups, meeting superinvestors, and discussing investing and things that go beyond: Apply for The Mastermind: Inner Circle.
Stig Brodersen’s Portfolio and Track Record.
Check out the Mastermind Discussion Q3, 2026 | Video.
Check out the Mastermind Discussion Q2, 2026 | Video.
Check out the Mastermind Discussion Q1, 2026 | Video.
Check out the Mastermind Discussion Q4, 2025 | Video.
Check out the Mastermind Discussion Q3, 2025 | Video.
Check out the Mastermind Discussion Q2, 2025 | Video.
Tobias Carlisle’s podcast, The Acquirers Podcast.
Tobias’ ETF, ZIG.
Tobias’ ETF, Deep.
Hari’s Blog.
Tweet to Hari.
Related books mentioned in the podcast.
Ad-free episodes on our Premium Feed.
NEW TO THE SHOW?
Get smarter about valuing businesses through The Intrinsic Value Newsletter.
Check out The Investor’s Podcast Starter Packs.
Follow our official social media accounts: X | LinkedIn | Facebook.
Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance.
Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services.
Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts.
SPONSORS
Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors:
Monarch
Plus500
Netsuite
Bilt
References to any third-party products, services, or advertisers do not constitute endorsements, and The Investor’s Podcast Network is not responsible for any claims made by them.
Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fmTIP856: Airbnb (ABNB): The Business Outgrew Its Peak, The Stock Hasn't w/ Kyle Grieve & Shawn O'Malley
29/10/2026 | 1 h 26 minIn today’s episode, Kyle Grieve and Shawn O’Malley discuss whether Airbnb’s recent slowdown was a warning sign or just building the groundwork for its next growth phase. They explore how a company that owns no homes built one of travel’s strongest brands, and why AI agents could threaten or strengthen it. You’ll also learn how Brian Chesky’s founder-led approach and new growth levers are shaping the business’s future.
IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN:
(00:00:00) Intro
(00:11:30) Why Airbnb barely noticed when it shut off advertising
(00:17:08) What really caused Airbnb’s growth and cash flow slowdown
(00:31:20) How Airbnb is winning market share from competitors
(00:33:32) Why AI chatbots could become travel’s new gatekeepers
(00:35:21) The asset no competitor can buy, no matter their budget
(00:42:08) The hidden trade-off behind Airbnb’s Reserve Now, Pay Later
(00:56:54) Why Brian Chesky’s “founder mode” reshaped how Airbnb operates
(01:16:17) The fast-growing countries that could fuel Airbnb for decades
(01:19:55) How hotels became Airbnb’s backdoor customer acquisition channel
(01:24:29) Valuation discussion
(01:26:55) Intrinsic value of Airbnb
(01:29:10) Whether Kyle & Shawn will add to their Airbnb position in the Intrinsic Value Portfolio
Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.
BOOKS AND RESOURCES
If you are interested in a Community for investors to learn, share ideas, network, and join calls with experts: Apply for The Intrinsic Value Mastermind.
If you are interested in more personal meet-ups, meeting superinvestors, and discussing investing and things that go beyond: Apply for The Mastermind: Inner Circle.
Track The Intrinsic Value Portfolio.
Portfolio Review Submit Tool.
Our original pitch on Airbnb.
Check out our previous Intrinsic Value breakdowns: Restoration Hardware, FICO, Copart.
Follow Kyle on X and LinkedIn.
Follow Shawn on X and LinkedIn.
Related books mentioned in the podcast.
Ad-free episodes on our Premium Feed.
NEW TO THE SHOW?
Get smarter about valuing businesses through The Intrinsic Value Newsletter.
Check out The Investor’s Podcast Starter Packs.
Follow our official social media accounts: X | LinkedIn | Facebook.
Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance.
Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services.
Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts.
SPONSORS
Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors:
Monarch
Plus500
Netsuite
Bilt
References to any third-party products, services, or advertisers do not constitute endorsements, and The Investor’s Podcast Network is not responsible for any claims made by them.
Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fmTIP855: Shopify (SHOP): The Big Winner of Agentic Commerce? w/ Shawn O'Malley & Daniel Mahncke
25/10/2026 | 1 h 18 minShawn O’Malley and Daniel Mahncke revisit Shopify (NASDAQ: SHOP) fifteen months after Shawn pitched it, called it one of the best businesses they’d ever studied, and recommended passing on the stock at around $80 per share. Since then, the stock has nearly doubled, gross merchandise volume has grown more than 30% for five straight quarters, 2025 revenue rose 30% to over $11.5 billion, and Shopify paid off its convertible notes and launched its first-ever buyback program, now totaling $5 billion.
Shawn and Daniel grade their original analysis: what they got right about the business, what they got wrong about the numbers, and whether the decision-making process itself was flawed. They dig into how Shopify became central to agentic commerce through its Catalog of over a billion products, the Universal Commerce Protocol it co-developed with Google, and agentic storefronts inside ChatGPT, Gemini, and Copilot. They also cover Amazon blocking Meta’s Muse agent while Shopify partnered with it, the bear case that merchants will vibe-code their own stores, Sidekick’s rapid adoption, and whether a great business is worth owning at 112 times operating profits.
IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN:
(00:00:00) Intro
(00:08:42) What Shawn and Daniel got right and wrong when they passed on Shopify in 2025
(00:09:02) How to grade an investment decision without falling for hindsight bias
(00:16:07) How Shopify sustained more than 30% GMV growth for five straight quarters
(00:17:12) Why Shopify merchants captured nearly half of all new U.S. e-commerce dollars
(00:23:28) Valuation discussion of Shopify
(00:32:30) What agentic commerce is and how Shopify’s Catalog and Universal Commerce Protocol power it
(00:49:22) Why AI shopping may favor independent brands over Amazon and Etsy
(01:03:14) Why merchants are unlikely to vibe-code their way off Shopify
(01:08:53) What Ben Graham’s P/E matrix says Shopify is worth today
(01:11:56) Whether Shawn and Daniel will add Shopify to the Intrinsic Value Portfolio
Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.
BOOKS AND RESOURCES
Apply for The Intrinsic Value Mastermind Community where investors learn, share ideas, network, and join calls with experts.
Apply for The Mastermind Inner Circle to connect with the most successful investors, executives, and business leaders from our audience.
Track The Intrinsic Value Portfolio.
Portfolio Review Submit Tool.
Our original podcast deep-dive on Shopify.
Shopify’s Q2 2026 results.
Shopify’s Spring ’26 Edition: Selling everything, everywhere, all at once.
Tobi Lütke on Uncapped with Jack Altman (#50).
Ben Thompson’s Stratechery interview with Michael Morton on e-commerce in the age of AI.
Shopify’s Tinker announcement and “Commerce at the speed of culture” data study.
Shopify at the Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference (September 2026).
The Graham-Dodd P/E Matrix.
Our updated Shopify valuation model.
Check out our previous Intrinsic Value breakdowns Shopify, Uber, Nike, Reddit, Nintendo, Airbnb, AutoZone, Alphabet, Ulta, John Deere, Madison Square Garden Sports.
Related books mentioned in the podcast.
Ad-free episodes on our Premium Feed.
NEW TO THE SHOW?
Get smarter about valuing businesses through The Intrinsic Value Newsletter.
Check out The Investor’s Podcast Starter Packs.
Follow our official social media accounts: X | LinkedIn | Facebook.
Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance.
Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services.
Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts.
SPONSORS
Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors:
Monarch
Plus500
Netsuite
Bilt
References to any third-party products, services, or advertisers do not constitute endorsements, and The Investor’s Podcast Network is not responsible for any claims made by them.
Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm
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Acerca de The Investor's Podcast (We Study Billionaires) - The Investor’s Podcast Network
Hosted by Stig Brodersen, William Green, Shawn O'Malley, Daniel Mahncke, and Kyle Grieve, The Investor’s Podcast has proudly reached nearly 200 million downloads, as the world's largest stock-investing focused podcast.
On the show, we study a range of businesses and their investment prospects, from Spotify to Amazon, serial acquirers like Constellation Software, deep value plays, and more, using lessons from some of the world's most famous investors, like Warren Buffett, Charlie Munger, and Howard Marks.
Leverage the lessons we learned from studying, and talking to, the world's best investors, and apply them in your own investing journey, while following along with our company case studies. For more insights on how to value companies and build a stock portfolio, you can also sign up for our free weekly newsletter.
Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm
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