Get Ready For A Falling Dollar. It Will Change Everything | Tavi Costa
The US dollar has been very strong for several years now. Among other implications, capital from the rest of the world has flooded into US stocks as a result.Today’s guest predicts that for many reasons, especially America’s need to get bond yields lower in order to make its debt more serviceable, the dollar will fall materially over the coming year.If that happens, it will likely be unfavorable for US stocks, but add a tailwind to other assets, some trading at attractive discounts todaySo where do the best opportunities lie for investors?To find out, we turn to macro and commodities expert Tavi Costa of Crescat Capital.TIME'S RUNNING OUT! BUY YOUR TICKET AT THE EARLY BIRD PRICE FOR OUR MARCH 15 CONFERENCE at https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference
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1:29:00
Overpriced Stocks Due For A Big Drop Or A "Lost Decade" | Chance Finucane
Stock market valuations remain high by nearly every valuation metric.And what concerns today's guest is that the earnings estimates being used to price stocks today seem far above what the free cash flows of the underlying companies will be able to deliver.In short, stocks prices appear to be promising returns that their actual profit growth simply can't meet.We'll discuss this concerning disconnect today with Chance Finucane, Chief Investment Office at Oxbow Advisors. We'll also address the other big trends factoring into his portfolio allocation decisions right now.Oxbow Advisors is a financial advisory firm founded by Ted Oakley that specializes in the needs of high net worth clients. As Ted's CIO, Chance will share with us what find of market outlook the firm sees ahead for the rest of the year and how it is positioning its client's assets for it.Follow Chance at http://oxbowadvisors.com/Or at http://youtube.com/@oxbowadvisorsTIME'S RUNNING OUT! BUY YOUR TICKET AT THE EARLY BIRD PRICE FOR OUR MARCH 15 CONFERENCE at https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference
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57:31
The New Geo-Political Era Is Changing EVERYTHING...But Wall Street Is BLIND To It | Michael Every
GET MICHAELS FREE ARTICLE ON STATECRAFT at https://thoughtfulmoney.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/global_strategy_us_economic_statecraft_days_of_future_past.pdfWhen today's guest was last on this program back in Nov, he predicted we'd see continued momentum geopolitically away from globalization and towards mercantilism and protectionism.That has proven to be the case worldwide, and particularly so for the US, where Donald Trump's "America First' agenda has kicked off at warp speed -- shocking citizens, allies and enemies alike with its violent & swift disruption of what was Business As Usual just a month ago. How is this wave of nationalism around the world likely to impact the global economy?What are the biggest opportunities it may open up for investors? And what are its biggest risks?To discuss, we're fortunate to be able to spend the next hour with Michael Every, Global Strategist at Rabobank, who joins us from Thailand.Michael, thanks so much for taking time out of your busy morning to join us.Follow Michael at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledgeOn LinkedIn at https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-every-38983214/?originalSubdomain=sgOr on X at @themichaelevery
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1:38:14
Market Correction "Near Guaranteed" Given Insanely High Earnings Expectations | Lance Roberts
"It's almost a guaranteed setup for a mean-reverting event"That's how portfolio manager Lance Roberts views the extremely-rosy earnings estimates currently forecasted for 2025 are.In his estimation, these estimates are so far removed from what actual corporate profits will be able to deliver that downwards repricing event is highly likely.The critical question, of course, remains: When?Lance and I discuss this unrealistic estimates threat in depth, as well as Walmarts recent disappointment, the continued weakening the US consumer, shifting investor & CEO confidence, gold, bonds, DOGE, tariffs, inflation, and Lance's firm's latest trades in this week's Market Recap.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.BUY YOUR TICKET AT THE EARLY BIRD PRICE FOR OUR MARCH 15 CONFERENCE at https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference
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1:46:44
Stocks Likely To Run Even Higher Before The Top Is In | New Harbor
The financial advisors from New Harbor Financial explain why the odds favor higher stock prices from here in the near term, to new all-time highs.They also discuss the prospects for gold & the gold miners (both promising, especially the latter), the safety of T-bills, and what to do if you fear you may lose your job in 2025.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com