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The Transfer Flow Podcast

Theodore Knutson
The Transfer Flow Podcast
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  • Episode 127 - What Went Wrong for Real Madrid in the Derby?
    On this episode of Transfer Flow, Patrick and Neel break down the Madrid Derby and explore where Xabi Alonso’s setup went wrong. From defensive struggles to vulnerabilities against crosses, we analyse exactly how Real Madrid was exposed and why their rivals capitalised. They also dive into the Premier League, looking at the relegation battle and discussing whether Sunderland are safe, how Villa can respond, and what Nuno can do to fix West Ham’s misaligned squad. Tottenham’s open play issues, Arsenal’s stylistic shift, and Liverpool’s shaky defence also get a tactical review. Whether you’re following La Liga, the Premier League, or just love in-depth football analysis, this episode gives you the insights and breakdowns you need. Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Timestamps: 00:00 Episode Intro 00:28 Neel Stepping in for Ted 01:07 Episode Intro Summary 01:24 Madrid Derby 02:07 Fun Facts about Atlético de Madrid 04:28 Real Madrid This Season 05:08 Possession Split vs Atlético de Madrid 05:42 Xabi Alonso Plan 06:56 Real Madrid Weaknesses 08:20 Jude Bellingham's Return 09:26 Team and tactic analysis 10:43 Real Madrid Struggling to Defend Crosses 13:03 Real Madrid vs. Opponents on Set Pieces 15:31 Jude Bellingham's Return and Long Term Impact for Real Madrid 17:00 No team looks Unstoppable in La Liga 17:08 Elche Game Analysis (Recap from Last Episode) 17:26 Frankfurt Game Analysis (Recap from Last Episode) 17:45 Bundesliga YouTube Highlight Package 18:43 Relegation battle 19:23 Leeds and Sunderland 20:13 Leeds Team Analysis and Progression Chances 23:26 Leeds, Burnley and Sunderland Defending Well 23:50 Sunderland Team Analysis and Progression Chances 27:20 Patrick's Thoughts on Burnley 28:44 Neel's Thoughts on Burnley 30:45 Aston Villa Analysis 30:54 Ollie Watkins Player Analysis 31:16 Aston Villa Poor Defence and Need for a Managerial Change 31:48 Thoughts on Why Aston Villa Playing Poorly and Need for Tactical Improvement 34:57 West Ham and Wolves 35:19 Nottingham Forest Analysis 37:42 West Ham 40:14 Can Wolves Find a Way Back? 42:00 Neel’s Thoughts on Wolves 43:35 Have Neel's Team Predictions Changed Now? 46:14 Patrick’s Thoughts on Nottingham Forest 48:26 Fulham Team Analysis 51:56 Fulham Needs a Wake-Up Call 52:45 Manchester United Team Analysis and Struggles 55:46 Spurs, Liverpool, Arsenal Recap 56:16 Analysing Spurs' Recent Performance 1:00:52 Liverpool’s Tactical Flexibility 1:06:10 Arsenal’s Defensive Strengths 1:06:58 The Balance of Defence and Attack 1:09:38 Closing Thoughts and Future Insights
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  • Episode 126- Cesc Fabregas: Europe’s Next Top Manager
    On today’s episode, Patrick and Neel take a deep dive into some of Europe’s most exciting teams and rising talents this season. They start with Strasbourg, highlighting the young players stepping up and who could be Chelsea’s next big signing. Next, they focus on Como, where Cesc Fabregas is making waves as a manager with innovative tactics, showing why his team could surprise Europe. Finally, they turn to Eintracht Frankfurt, exploring the next forwards coming off the club’s conveyor belt that produced stars like Mouhanni, Ekiteke, and Marmouch, and spotlighting the young talents lighting up the Bundesliga. From breakout stars to tactical experiments, this episode covers everything you need to know about these teams before anyone else. Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:40 Hoping for a clean audio recording 00:58 Picks from around Europe 01:28 Italy club picks 01:36 Como: The Rising Star of Serie A 02:16 Como Young talent 02:19 Como Transfer Grade in TTF newsletter 02:35 Nico Paz standout player 02:39 Como young talent signings 03:26 Cesc Fabregas Europes Next Best Manager 03:46 Patricks thoughts on Como this season 05:32 Como’s Unique Style 06:50 Cesc and Como tactic testing and versatility 09:00 Two Improvements Neel has noticed with Como 10:15 What Patrick is interested in seeing with Como 11:33 Como’s Attack Under Fabregas 12:41 How far can Como go? 13:23 What’s Next for Como? 13:56 Jesús Rodríguez X Factor player but is still young 14:18 Strasbourg: The Youngest Team in Europe’s Top League 15:37 The Second Youngest Team in Europe’s Top League 16:09 Strasbourg Young Team 16:04 Rosenior’s Style at Strasbourg 19:31 Strasbourg’s Turbulent Season Start 20:18 Panichelli: Strasbourg’s Big Hope 20:45 The Fallout from Amiga’s Chelsea Move 21:05 Where Will Strasbourg’s Goals Come From? 21:46 Too Much Turnover, Not Enough Chemistry 21:59 Why Strasbourg Are Still Fun to Watch 22:51 Why Young Teams Struggle Creatively 23:13 Diego Moreira: Strasbourg’s Next Big Sale? 24:40 Perfect Fits for Diego Moreira 24:04 Can Any Club Afford Him? 24:11 Chelsea’s Young Player Problem 24:47 Chelsea Sign Every Teenage 25:50 Strasbourg: A Jump on Everyone Else 26:19 Ligue 1’s Weird Start (PSG Struggling) 26:55 Bakwa’s Bright Start at Nottingham Forest 37:29 Elche’s Unique Playing Style 28:28 Possession as a Defensive Strategy 31:00 Quick Passing and Midfield Rotations 32:26 Elche’s Intelligent Approach 33:39 Elche’s Transfer Strategy and Player Development 35:24 The Evolution of Young Team in La Liga 35:46 Tempering Expectations for Elche 36:59 Spain Offers Up Something New 37:22 Promoted Teams Experimenting 37:41 Frankfurt’s Competitive Edge in the Bundesliga 38:57 Uzun Star Player 40:40 Jean-Meteo Bahoya: Talent to Watch 43:35 Frankfurt’s Breakout Stars 43:55 Tactical Analysis of Frankfurt 48:31 Union Saint-Gilloise: A Rising Force 53:18 European Competition and Future Prospects 55:04 Union SG: Top of the League and European Challenges 57:31 Outro 57:53 Find Neel on Twitter & BlueSky
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  • Episode 125 - Arsenal, City & Liverpool | What the Stats Are Really Saying
    In this episode, Patrick and Ted break down the Premier League’s early season and what it tells us about the top teams. We look at Arsenal versus Man City and explore what we’ve learned from this clash of title contenders. Man City’s performance has been strange so far — what does it mean for the rest of the season? Liverpool’s early season numbers aren’t what we expected, so we dig into what’s really going on there. We also touch on Man United versus Chelsea, as well as a roundup of the other Premier League surprises and takeaways. Plus, Ted discusses how analytics-minded fans can start a career in football and what beginners often miss when getting started in the game. Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:46 Ted’s Liverpool Tweet 01:49 Liverpools Performance Metrics 02:24 Mo Salah Playing Poorly 02:39 Defensive Liverpool Fans 03:40 Liverpool Crushing Atletico Madrid 05:00 Numbers are Against Liverpool 07:00 Liverpool Can Still Succeed 08:30 Ted's Liverpool Transfer Grades 9:30 Fans That Don't Get Angry and Takes Criticism 10:37 Transfer Grades and Team Analysis 12:00 Ted and Patrick Saving Easy Money for Man U 12:44 Hayden’s Transfer Grades 13:07 Great Players But Are They The Right Fit? 13:30 Transfer Prices Analysis 15:37 Patricks Transfer Grade List 15:55 Brighton Team Analysis 16:46 Brighton Need New Head Coach 17:52 Crystal Palace Performance 21:57 How Players Were Graded in Consultancies 23:00 Arsenal vs Manchester City Analysis 24:10 Haajland Like Cristiano Ronaldo 24:45 Marmoush Helping Man City 25:00 Half-Time Subs 25:30 Arsenal and City Performance Metrics 26:45 Pep Guardiola Management Analysis 27:40 Bayern and Kompany 28:15 Analysing Tactical Adaptations in Football 30:40 Gary Neville Criticising Arsenal 31:33 Arsenal Rebuilding Squad 32:13 Liverpool Comparison to Arsenal 32:41 Media Talking Heads Problem 36:16 Fulham team analysis 36:50 Ted’s worry for Brentford 38:30 Brentford players risk elements in team 39:20 Fulham, The Good and Bad 40:26 Man U vs. Chelsea 41:50 Man U Better Than We Thought 42:05 Chelsea Boring 42:00 Chelsea Team and Tactic Problems 45:00 Jao Pedro Poor Attacking 45:30 Strikers Poorly Playing Lately 45:49 How We Graded 47:11 Patrick and Ted on United 48:33 Ted's Thoughts On Man U 49:21The Intersection of Data and Tactics in Football 51:09 Understanding Football and the Models 54:34 How Ted Knows He's Measuring the Right Data 58:09 Seeing What's Missing and Doesn't Exist 59:55 How to Get Started and Learn from mistakes 1:02:00 Outro
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  • Episode 124 - Is this the END for Vinicius at Real Madrid? + UCL Matchday 1 reactions
    On this episode, Patrick and Neel break down another Champions League week. Liverpool win in stoppage time against Atletico Madrid, but did Diego Simeone get it all wrong? Chelsea lose to Bayern in a wide-open game where neither side defended well, are Chelsea in for a rough Champions League run? Real Madrid thrash Marseille, but questions remain about Vinicius’ role and their back line. Finally, Juventus and Dortmund play out another chaotic match, but are either team actually good? Enjoy! Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Timestamps: 00:00 - Intro 01:05 – Atlético vs Liverpool, total beatdown 02:00 – Liverpool’s dominance, Atleti’s weak goals 03:25 – Salah central, Frimpong’s role 04:23 – Liverpool’s shape 05:20 – Atleti’s lack of speed up front 06:53 – Can Liverpool control games? 08:21 – Reliance on Van Dijk & Konate staying fit 09:02 – League vs UCL: will Liverpool’s style work? 11:10 – Comparing Liverpool to Arsenal 12:27 – Chelsea vs Bayern, chaos in Munich 13:27 – Chelsea’s poor defensive block 14:27 – Bayern’s rotations through midfield 15:25 – Bayern cut through Chelsea at will 16:26 – Chelsea’s 0.06 xG second half 17:17 – What Chelsea lack in attack 18:29 – Shot leaders for Chelsea 18:52 – Stock market FC 19:19 – Are Chelsea fans patient enough? 19:46 – Real Madrid vs Marseille 21:05 – Rodrigo in, Vinicius benched again 22:20 – Mbappé leading the press 23:44 – Back line still shaky high up the pitch 24:43 – Real’s high turnovers & composure 25:20 – Madrid press exposes Marseille wide 26:09 – Why Marseille lacked a striker outlet 27:45 – Encouraging signs for Xabi Alonso’s Madrid 28:10 – Vinicius on the bench again 29:25 – Selling high on Vinicius? 30:52 – Madrid’s rotation issues 31:30 – This is Mbappé’s team 32:03 – Juventus vs Dortmund, chaos or quality? 32:46 – When Juve last had back-to-back 7+ goal games 34:43 – Why Juventus are still boring 35:16 – Dortmund’s 0.04 xG at halftime 35:51 – 15 goals in 2 games, only 5 xG combined 37:24 – Dortmund defending like statues 37:47 – Funny but frustrating to watch 38:32 – Both teams still unserious 39:09 – When were Dortmund last actually good? 40:48 – Thursday night football rant 41:36 – Outro & newsletter plug
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  • Episode 123 - We saw the future of Arsenal's best Champions League lineup + Are Spain and Barcelona destroying Lamine Yamal?
    On this episode, Patrick and Ted open with the Manchester Derby as City defeat United 3–0, but who should really be worried? Jeremy Doku delivers his best performance, yet City’s problems remain while United’s defensive structure continues to collapse. They then move on to Juventus’ 4–3 win over Inter in a Serie A thriller, Arsenal’s more direct style with Zubimendi, Eze, and Gyökeres, and Aston Villa’s struggles under Unai Emery. The conversation shifts to the importance of set pieces, how clubs train them, and how to get coaches to buy in. Finally, Hansi Flick warns about overplaying Lamine Yamal, the need to protect young players, and bold ideas for football’s rules and competitions close out the episode. Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Timestamps: 00:00 - Intro 00:43 - Welcoming Ted & CL week buzz 01:27 - Early season uncertainty 02:35 - Man City 3–0 United recap 03:25 - Doku’s best game 03:59 - United’s attack better, defense shaky 04:55 - Tactical holes & rebuild timeline 05:22 - Media noise & overreactions 05:30 - Amorim’s issues & first goal breakdown 07:48 - United’s resilience vs. tactical flaws 08:42 - Over-spending, poor recruitment, and limited options 09:57 - Glasner & United’s coaching futures 10:37 - City let United have the ball — tactical choice or necessity? 11:38 - Doku & Foden inverted roles 12:31 - Midfield fragility, CL test ahead 12:47 - Haaland dependence & Arsenal clash 13:56 - Juventus vs Inter chaos 14:29 - surprisingly low xG 14:58 - Serie A: set pieces & bangers 15:32 - Juve’s compact shape vs Inter shot selection 16:33 - Çalhanoğlu punishes space 16:41 - Juve “evil” football 17:24 - Tactical adaptations & long shots 17:51 - Long throws trend in PL 18:19 - Elite shooters finding space 19:22 - Arsenal’s new directness 20:00 - Calafiori–Eze–Gyökeres link-up 20:37 - Arsenal’s best transition lineup? 21:16 - Zubimendi brace 21:37 - Aston Villa struggles 22:03 - Ted never believed in Emery 22:39 - Poor attack, dreadful start 23:07 - Bad xG, no goals scored 23:51 - Everton away embarrassment 24:37 - Injuries & signings (Sancho, Elliott) 25:29 - Big spend, poor squad build 26:19 - Emery’s 3rd season curse 27:21 - Midland’s preview curse 27:50 - How Analytics meets set-piece coaching 28:55 - How analysts get buy-in at clubs 29:45 - Recruitment & set piece work 30:39 - Coaches resisting change 31:37 - Brentford examples & connecting credibility dots 33:24 - Training time needed 33:51 - Goalkeeper vision blockers 35:26 - Coaching salaries & value 36:02 - Early adopters sustain edges 36:54 - NFL-style adaptations 38:22 - Isolating weak defenders 38:35 - Garnacho’s long throw lapse 39:38 - Set-piece pioneers 40:21 - Sir Alex Ferguson’s late-career set-piece shift 42:23 - Lower leagues ripe for set-piece edge 43:36 - Player data & career control (teaser) 44:22 - Flick warns on Yamal workload 45:04 - Club vs international risk 46:59 - Young players’ fragility 47:58 - Fabregas & Wilshere comparisons 48:52 - Spain & Barca overplay their stars 49:36 - Hazard, Sterling early peaks 50:25 - Protecting young talent 50:36 - Patreon coming soon! 52:17 - B-roll: lowbrow YouTube football 53:03 - Set-piece arms race 53:20 - Are set pieces a problem? Tony Pulis/Stoke era memories 54:10 - Rule changes: penalties, throw-ins, time wasting 55:16 - American vs. European attitudes to rule changes 56:15 - Trialing rule changes in the Netherlands 57:35 - Why fans resist big shifts 59:18 - Penalty arcs & alternative spots 01:00:15 - UEFA-wide knockout tournament
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