Breaking Huawei + Tariffs Done Right with SemiAnalysis and Asianometry
Dylan Patel is a man on a mission. We get into how:
Huawei is giving NVIDIA a run for their money
What USG needs to do about it
What smart semiconductor tariff policy would look like
o3
Outtro Music, a little texas country for you all:
Ernest Tubb, Walking the Floor Over You https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fQIRRReZIls
Hank Thompson, Wild Side of Life https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OPvARPfquPc
And a completely wild post-WWII song I did not feel comfortable putting on the feed but worth a listen for the wtf factor: Ernest Tubb, Filipino Baby https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1WXnoCyKGw8&pp=0gcJCdgAo7VqN5tD
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34:32
Breaking Beijing: Military Competition with Tony Stark
Does America still have what it takes to stand up to China? Does short-term military readiness trade off with long-term strategy? What does the US need to do today to stay competitive for the rest of the century?
“Tony Stark” is the author of Breaking Beijing, a Substack examining the military dimensions of US-China competition. Tony’s Substack goes deep on subjects you didn’t know you needed to understand, like Arctic policy, and takes a refreshing step back to look at great power competition holistically. Tony is also the author of Ex Supra, a sci-fi thriller about a near-future US-China war.
Today, we discuss…
What it will take to win the 21st century, and what America needs to prioritize in the short, medium, and long term,
Why investing in education, basic science research, and foreign aid pay dividends in military readiness,
Why Washington is short on coherent China strategy,
Taiwan’s impact on global nonproliferation efforts,
How AI could change warfare, even if AGI can’t be considered a “wonder weapon.”
Outro music: Cmon - Fred Again (YouTube link)
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1:02:11
GreatDepressionTalk with SemiAnalysis and Asianometry
Doug gives his "we're heading for the end of the dollar-based world order" take.
Dylan has no idea what he's talking about when it comes to macro or politics.
We fail to arrive at the 2011 Obama-Boehner deal.
I had a fever during the recording so don't really talk.
1930s-energy outtro music:
Victoria Spivey, Detroit Moan, 1936 https://open.spotify.com/track/7L3GgSuguDJXi1msw6Pe7W?si=ab99d3eea65647eb
Judy Garland, Over the Rainbow, 1938 https://open.spotify.com/track/3wAIcORchxdSkWv6v5AkaU?si=b6bfe7a8249147bb
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49:10
EMERGENCY POD: Are We Cooked?
Kevin Xu of https://interconnect.substack.com/, Matt Klein of https://theovershoot.co/, and Peter Harrell, Biden's U.S. White House as senior director for international economics in 2021-2022 and host of the new https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/security-economics/id1794022711 podcast join the show to discuss whether America's cooked.
Outtro Music: Madeleine Chartrand - Tout Doucement, 1975 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e856a_xZ1TI&ab_channel=Vinyle33-45RPM
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46:29
EMERGENCY POD: Liberation Day with Tanner Greer of Scholarstage
Tanner Greer of Scholar's Stage and I try to make sense of Liberation Day, the intellectual underpinnings of Trump's team, and what it all means for the world.
Tanner's report: https://www.fpri.org/article/2025/03/obscurity-by-design/
Outtro Music: Nobody but You Babe, Clarence Reid, 1969 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vCT7w2t8cyY
01:23 Geopolitical Implications of Trump's Management Style
35:02 Economic Vision and Industrial Renaissance
52:28 Economic Liberalism and Trump World
52:42 Industrial Policy Camps in Trump Administration
56:30 Laura Loomer and Trump World Geopolitics
01:04:04 Historical Parallels and Red Experts Problem
01:20:00 Taiwan Policy and Cultural Wars
01:29:40 China Policy and Trump's Tactical Approach
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Conversations exploring China, technology, and US-China relations. Guests include a wide range of analysts, policymakers, and academics. Hosted by Jordan Schneider.
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