UBS On-Air: Market Moves

Kurt Reiman, Head of Fixed Income Americas, and Shane Lieberman, Senior Governmental Affairs Advisor, provide a comprehensive update on a range of timely topics, spanning how Washington is addressing housing affordability, geopolitical points of interest such as Iran and Venezuela, the upcoming SCOTUS ruling on the Trump administration’s use of IEEPA for tariff policy, the U.S. Department of Justice’s investigation into Fed Chair Powell, and where negotiations stand to avoid a partial shutdown of the U.S. government comes the end of January. Host: Daniel Cassidy

UK monthly GDP data was stronger than expected, and revised stronger for the previous month—but the monthly GDP data is economists’ version of white noise (a background hum to help one sleep). Manufacturing and services data was stronger and generally revised up. Trade data showed a lot more volatility in previous metal trade, and stronger exports (away from the US). European trade data should also show normal non-US trade.

Join Evan Brown, Head of Multi-Asset Strategy and Portfolio Manager, for an assessment of the current macro and market environment as we have entered 2026. Hosted by Fatou Konteh, Multi-Asset Specialist. Recorded on 26.01.07

Are there reasons for staying bullish on the markets entering 2026? Burkhard has twelve, and we cover a handful of them on the first episode of Viewpoints to begin the year. Burkhard shares is assessment and outlook for markets, and where to find opportunity.

US December consumer price inflation is not likely to push the Federal Reserve into cutting rates immediately. The numbers were not especially threatening, although they hint at upward pressure on the PCE deflator (by repute, the Fed’s favored inflation measure). However, the interpolation rate (using less precise prices) hit a record 40%, raising quality questions. Politically sensitive prices like groceries soared, suggesting affordability will remain an issue.