Sharp Football Analysis by Warren Sharp

NFL Week 2 best bets, player props and referee picks, plus the biggest college football game of the weekend. Warren Sharp is 37-13 (74%) lifetime on podcast best bets, and this is the full Week 2 card: his best bet of the week, three props from Rich Hribar, Ryan McCrystal on LSU at Ole Miss and Joe Gibbs on the Week 2 referees.
It starts with three things from Week 1 that change how you bet Week 2. Houston's revamped offense and what it does to opponent play volume against the Bengals. Tampa's blitz rate against a Cleveland offense that cannot get the ball out. And the Eagles, a league low on first down and a win anyway, now on the road in Tennessee.

Two weeks free: code SHOW35 on the NFL Plus monthly package gets you a full month of Warren's NFL recommendations plus Rich Hribar's breakdown of every game for the price of two weeks. https://sharp.football

Games covered: LSU at Ole Miss, Bengals at Texans, Jaguars at Broncos, Saints at Ravens, Browns at Buccaneers and Giants at Rams on Monday Night Football.

WHAT YOU WILL LEARN

How Houston's offense changed its intent in Week 1 and why opponent play volume is the number to watch

Why Tampa's blitz rate against a slow time to throw is the mismatch of the week

Why the Eagles offense is a problem even in a win, and what the first down and play action numbers say

Ryan McCrystal on LSU at Ole Miss, the doubtful quarterback, and why the line has barely moved

Rich Hribar's three Week 2 props and the numbers behind each one, including where he ladders

The referee trends behind Joe Gibbs' three picks, including the best home field referee in the league

Warren's Week 2 best bet and a scheduling angle that has only happened four times since 1990

CHAPTERS

00:00 Warren's best bets record and today's show

01:10 Houston's revamped offense and opponent play volume

04:02 Tampa's pressure against Cleveland

08:31 What is going on with the Eagles offense

11:39 College football with Ryan McCrystal

12:06 LSU at Ole Miss

20:51 Two weeks free with code SHOW35

22:12 Rich Hribar prop 1: Saints at Ravens

25:04 Prop 2: Jaguars at Broncos

30:44 Prop 3: Jaguars at Broncos

32:43 The ref report with Joe Gibbs

33:20 Bengals at Texans

35:21 Jaguars at Broncos

37:05 Giants at Rams, Monday Night Football

39:29 OddsJam, code WARREN

40:10 Warren's best bet of the week

47:59 Wrap-up

PROMO CODES

SHOW35: two weeks free on the NFL Plus monthly package at https://sharp.football

OddsJam code WARREN: free week trial and 40% off your first month, https://oddsjam.com/nfl/screen/moneyline?promo=warren

GUESTS

Rich Hribar, Sharp Football Analysis, @LordReebs

Ryan McCrystal, Sharp Football Analysis, college football

Joe Gibbs, Sharp Football Analysis, referee analysis

Hosted by Warren Sharp, @SharpFootball

MORE RESOURCES

The Worksheet: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/fantasy/the-worksheet/

The 2026 Football Preview book: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/warren-sharp-book-nfl-football-preview/

All packages: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/packages/

Follow us: https://www.youtube.com/@SharpFootballAnalysis and https://x.com/SharpFootball

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Three matchups decide the biggest games of NFL Week 2: the Bears offense against Brian Flores and the Vikings defense, the Steelers offense against the Patriots defense, and Dak Prescott against the Commanders pass defense.
Buy two weeks, get two weeks free. A full month of NFL betting recommendations plus Rich Hribar's breakdown of every game for the price of two weeks. Use code SHOW35 on the NFL Plus Monthly package at sharp.football.
Players discussed: Caleb Williams, Jordan Love, Carson Wentz, Justin Jefferson, Aaron Rodgers, Jaylen Warren, Rico Dowdle, Jadarian Price, Drew Lock, Dak Prescott, Jalen Hurts, CeeDee Lamb, Jayden Daniels, Derrick Henry, Jahmyr Gibbs, Cam Ward.
What you will learn
• How Brian Flores has blitzed Caleb Williams in all four meetings
• The shotgun vs under center split that could decide Bears at Vikings
• What the Vikings offense looks like with Carson Wentz
• How much the Steelers offense changed with Aaron Rodgers and Mike McCarthy
• Why the Steelers backfield split could tighten toward Jaylen Warren
• Why Dak Prescott's Week 1 was not all on Dak, and what he does against the blitz
• Two under the radar matchups for Sunday
Chapters
00:00 Welcome to the Matchup Show
00:36 Matchup 1: Bears offense vs Vikings defense
05:08 Shotgun or under center: how the Bears beat Flores
09:25 Three shows every week
10:03 The Vikings offense with Carson Wentz
12:48 Matchup 2: Steelers offense vs Patriots defense
15:09 Aaron Rodgers and the new Steelers offense
17:26 Can Pittsburgh run on New England
19:43 Jaylen Warren vs Rico Dowdle
21:37 Matchup 3: Dak Prescott vs Commanders pass defense
23:32 Dak vs the blitz and Dan Quinn
26:39 The Cowboys defense problem
30:24 The Worksheet: every game, every week
31:05 Sneaky important matchups
31:40 Rich's pick: Ravens run game vs the Saints
34:14 Warren's pick: Eagles defense vs Titans offense
36:52 See you next week
The Worksheet, a full preview of every single game every week written by Rich Hribar, is included with the fantasy packages: the worksheet.
All packages: sharpfootballanalysis.com/packages
Follow Us
X: @SharpFootball
X: @LordReebs

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NFL Week 1 best bets, player props and referee picks, plus two college football sides for Saturday. Warren Sharp is 36-13 (73%) lifetime on podcast best bets, and this is the full Week 1 card: his best bet of the week, three props from Rich Hribar, Ryan McCrystal's college football picks and Joe Gibbs on the Week 1 referees.
Week 1 sale: code SHOW85 takes 85% off any weekly betting package, every Week 1 recommendation plus early Week 2 action for $15. Code SHOW25 takes 25% off a monthly or season-long package. sharp.football
Players and teams discussed: Jayden Daniels, Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow, Rhamondre Stevenson, Arch Manning and Bryce Underwood. Seahawks at Patriots, Ohio State at Texas, Oklahoma at Michigan, Bengals vs Buccaneers, Bears vs Panthers, Saints at Lions, Packers at Vikings, Cowboys at Giants and Broncos at Chiefs.
WHAT YOU WILL LEARN
• Which teams moved to under center the most this preseason, and why it matters for Daniels, Lamar and Burrow
• Why Week 1 is the week to be careful with your bankroll, and why Week 2 is overreaction week
• How to use alt ladders on player props
• Ryan McCrystal's picks for Ohio State at Texas and Oklahoma at Michigan
• Rich Hribar's three Week 1 props and the numbers behind each one
• The referee trends behind Joe Gibbs' three picks
• Warren's Week 1 best bet and the numbers behind it
CHAPTERS
00:00 Warren's best bets record and today's show
01:06 Seahawks over Patriots: the opener
02:33 Quarterbacks going under center more in 2026
09:08 New coaches, new roles, new prices
13:21 How we bet props (and the Stevenson ladder)
17:30 College football picks with Ryan McCrystal
18:16 Ohio State at Texas pick
21:44 Oklahoma at Michigan pick
25:31 85% off the Week 1 betting package
26:58 Rich Hribar prop 1: Bengals vs Bucs
29:35 Prop 2: Bears vs Panthers
32:23 Prop 3: Saints at Lions
35:38 The ref report with Joe Gibbs
36:29 Packers at Vikings
38:34 Cowboys at Giants, Sunday Night Football
40:55 Broncos at Chiefs, Monday Night Football
43:46 Warren's best bet of the week
51:34 Wrap-up
Watch the video version on YouTube: https://youtu.be/KEB0lOgXzl8
PROMO CODES
SHOW85: 85% off any weekly betting package at sharp.football
SHOW25: 25% off a monthly or season-long package
OddsJam code WARREN: free trial and 40% off your first month, oddsjam.com
GUESTS
Rich Hribar, Sharp Football Analysis, @LordReebs
Ryan McCrystal, Sharp Football Analysis, college football
Joe Gibbs, Sharp Football Analysis, referee analysis
Hosted by Warren Sharp, @SharpFootball
MORE RESOURCES
The Worksheet
The 2026 Football Preview book
All packages
Follow Us
YouTube • X • sharpfootballanalysis.com

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Three matchups decide the biggest games of NFL Week 1, and this is the film and the numbers on all three: Texans offense against the Bills defense, the Bengals passing game against the Buccaneers front, and Ravens at Colts.
Houston's offense finished 30th in red zone touchdown rate last season and ran the fourth highest rate of three receiver sets down there. Buffalo has a new defensive coordinator and gave up 7.6 yards per carry against two tight end sets. Cincinnati is putting Joe Burrow under center after two years of shotgun at the second highest rate in the NFL, against the defense that blitzes more than anyone. And the Colts offense that ranked number one in the league through 10 weeks meets a Baltimore defense with a new coordinator who plays the lowest rate of man coverage in football.
Plus the Seahawks and Patriots opener, the two injuries that came out of it, and one sneaky important matchup from each of us that nobody is talking about.
85% OFF THE WEEKLY BETTING PACKAGE
We opened the season 3-1, hit both of our top props on Wednesday night, and a $100 bettor won $378 on the first game of the year. Get every Week 1 play plus early Week 2 action for $15. Use code SHOW85 at checkout.
https://sharp.football
THE WORKSHEET
A full preview of every single game, every week, written by Rich Hribar. Included with the fantasy packages.
https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/fantasy/the-worksheet/
THE 2026 FOOTBALL PREVIEW
600 plus pages. Every team chapter, every positional unit ranked, win total analysis and the futures market.
https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/warren-sharp-book-nfl-football-preview/
ALL PACKAGES
https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/packages/
CHAPTERS
00:00 Welcome to the Matchup Show
00:35 Seahawks 13, Patriots 10: what actually happened
07:28 Three videos a week this season
08:08 Matchup 1: Texans offense vs Bills defense
14:21 The other side: Josh Allen against the Texans pass rush
15:54 C.J. Stroud at home and on the road
17:09 Matchup 2: Bengals passing game vs Bucs defensive front
21:19 Joe Burrow's Week 1 problem
24:39 Can Cincinnati run it against this front
26:35 85% off the Week 1 betting package
27:38 Matchup 3: Ravens and Colts
33:30 Lamar Jackson and the new Ravens offense
38:04 Sneaky important matchup
38:29 Rich's pick: Steelers 12 personnel
41:09 Warren's pick: Jordan Love vs Brian Flores
43:50 Tell us if you want this every week
New show, every Thursday, all season long.
Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RaOe53L5LNY
X: https://x.com/SharpFootball
X: https://x.com/LordReebs

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2026 NFL win totals, drafted. Three analysts pick 30 of the 32 teams in snake order by who will win the most games this season, with the schedule, roster and coaching reasons behind every pick and the two teams nobody wanted.
Get 25 percent off every package with code TAKE25: https://sharp.football
Ten rounds, thirty picks, two teams left on the board. Every pick comes with a case for the team, a case against it, and the win total number the market put on it. The back half covers the two teams nobody drafted, the picks that could look dumb by December, the Week 1 games where the drafters go head to head, and the strength of schedule tool that will update every week of the season.
What You'll Learn
• Which teams three analysts trust most for wins in 2026, in the order they were taken
• Why the defending Super Bowl champions and the runners-up both lasted past the second round
• The field goal luck and one-score record that explain one team's 2025
• Why a team coming off a Super Bowl loss went in the fourth round
• The late-season schedule that flattered a young quarterback's finish last year
• Which teams sit in a brutal division, and which ones drew the easy runs
• The four Week 1 games where two drafters own opposite sidelines
• The two teams nobody drafted, and why
Chapters
00:00 Welcome, and what a win total draft is
00:46 The Merril Hoge and Skip Bayless clip
03:22 Why the analysis has to be researched
04:32 Meet the drafters, and the two-time champ
06:59 How the draft works
08:30 Round 1
09:39 The code for 25 percent off
17:13 Round 2
21:50 Round 3
25:12 Round 4
31:27 Round 5
39:46 Round 6
41:19 The Splash Sports pick five contest
46:15 Round 7
50:42 Round 8
57:49 Round 9
1:06:35 Round 10
1:10:44 The two teams nobody drafted
1:14:23 Which picks could look dumb
1:15:42 Week 1 head to head games
1:18:08 Which teams were under-drafted, and the projected totals
1:20:33 The strength of schedule tool
1:21:32 Wrap, and the packages
Watch the video version on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XjCqN1RcX0w
Splash Sports Pick 5 Contest
Code SHARP, $100 entry, enter by September 13: https://splashsports.com/sharp
Today's Drafters
Warren Sharp: https://x.com/SharpFootball
Rich Hribar, Sharp Football Analysis: https://x.com/LordReebs
Raymond Summerlin, Sharp Football Analysis: https://x.com/RMSummerlin
More Resources
All packages: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/packages/
Futures packages: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/futures-package/
The 2026 Football Preview book: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/warren-sharp-book-nfl-football-preview/
Follow Us
YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@SharpFootballAnalysis
X: https://x.com/SharpFootball
Website: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com

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